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“Consensus based weather forecasts” have demonstrated this methodology will consistently provide a accurate weather forecast, more frequently than any other single methodology. Weather Insight has improved upon this concept by expanding upon the number of meteorologically diverse weather models used within the process.
Validation:
A large and reputable North Eastern Utility conducted a weather forecast accuracy study for a specific location, over the 2003-2004 Winter season, which included the 3 months from December 2003 through February 2004. In this study 6 highly regarded weather forecasting companies provided a 7 day weather forecast before 7 am, each day. The results are as follows:
- Weather Insight (formerly Quantum Weather) ranked consistently 1st or 2nd when comparing MAE and RMSE. Note, no other weather provider was consistent with their forecasting accuracies (appears random).
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CONSENSUS BASED WEATHER FORECASTS |
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Q-CAST |
KILO-WEATHER |
WEATHER MODELS USED |
12 weather models, over 75 models if ensembles are included |
10 weather models |
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FORECAST OUTPUTS |
Hourly or Daily Max,Min, Avg |
Daily Max/Min/Avg |
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FORECAST DURATION |
16 Days |
10 days |
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UPDATE FREQUENCY |
Choose between: every hour, 3 hours, 2 x per day or 1 x per day |
2x per day |
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FORECAST VARIABLES |
10 variables forecasted hourly out 16 days |
Temperature Only |
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STATISTICAL OUTPUTS |
+/- 1 Standard Deviation for Surface Temperature |
N/A |
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# OF LOCATIONS |
250 US Cities |
~80 US Cities |
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PERFORMANCE |
Ability to Interactively compare Q-Cast accuracy with ANY other publicly available weather forecast, for any location, for any time period |
Sent a report once per quarter comparing accuracy with MRF |
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METEOROLOGICAL SUPPORT |
24 x 7 |
None |
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